JP’s Oscar Nomination Predictions

Next Tuesday, January 26th, the 89th Annual Academy Awards nominations will be announced in preparation for the actual ceremony on February 26. To celebrate this occasion and the lead up to the actual ceremony, I will look back at this year’s crop of nominations as well as some in the past. I will probably call the series “Give Me The Gold, I Want The Gold“, so be sure to check this space.

But for now, I’m going to try to predict what the actual nominees will be before Tuesday’s announcement. For your sake and mine, I am only going to highlight the top six categories (Picture, Directing, Acting) so I apologize to the writers, cinematographers, editors, et al. I will also leave my predications on who will actually win for another day.

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
  2. Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
  3. Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
  4. Dev Patel, Lion
  5. Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

On The Bubble: Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins; Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Viola Davis, Fences
  2. Naomie Harris, Moonlight
  3. Nicole Kidman, Lion
  4. Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
  5. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

On The Bubble: Greta Gerwig, 20th Century Women; Janelle Monaé, Hidden Figures

Best Actor

  1. Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
  2. Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
  3. Ryan Gosling, La La Land
  4. Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
  5. Denzel Washington, Fences

On The Bubble: Joel Edgerton, Loving; Tom Hanks, Sully


Best Actress

  1. Amy Adams, Arrival
  2. Annette Benning, 20th Century Women
  3. Isabelle Huppert, Elle
  4. Natalie Portman, Jackie
  5. Emma Stone, La La Land

On The Bubble: Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins; Ruth Negga, Loving

Best Director

  1. Damien Chazelle, La La Land
  2. Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
  3. Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
  4. Martin Scorsese, Silence
  5. Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

On The Bubble: Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge; Denzel Washington, Fences; Garth Davis, Lion

Best Picture

  1. Arrival
  2. Fences
  3. Hell or High Water
  4. Hidden Figures
  5. La La Land
  6. Lion
  7. Manchester by the Sea
  8. Moonlight

In 2009 the Academy changed the rules on how many films could be nominated for best picture, increasing it from five to ten nominations. Then in 2011 they amended the rule so that it just had to be between five and ten films. So basically predicting which films and how many will be nominated is like shooting in the dark. But I tried, OKAY?

What do you think of my picks? Are you mad at me because I omitted Ryan Reynolds and Deadpool? Let us know in the comments below before the spam bots overtake them.

Cover Photo courtesy of www.oscars.org

You can find JP on Twitter at @jp_rcs.